Skip to main content

Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://0x-250ca30e.mintlify.app/llms.txt

Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

Kuroko evaluates every active Polymarket market against four observable signals and produces a single edge score from 0 to 100. The score tells you how interesting a market is to trade right now — not whether you will win. Higher scores indicate conditions where the market is liquid, active, and uncertain enough to offer meaningful entry and exit opportunities.

Score tiers

Scores map to three tiers that appear throughout the Kuroko UI:
TierScore rangeWhat it means
STRONG≥ 70High-volume, liquid market with meaningful recent movement. Good conditions to consider a position.
MODERATE40 – 69Reasonable activity and liquidity. Worth watching; not yet prime conditions.
WEAK< 40Thin volume, low liquidity, or a resolved-looking market. Exercise caution.
STRONG does not mean “you should buy.” It means the market has the volume, liquidity, and uncertainty profile that makes a position worth evaluating. Kuroko surfaces conditions — you decide whether to trade.

Scoring dimensions

The total score is the sum of four independent dimensions. Each dimension rewards observable market conditions using fixed point bands.
DimensionMax pointsWhat it measures
Volume30Trading activity — more volume means more reliable price discovery
Liquidity20Depth of the order book — more liquidity means cleaner entry and exit
Uncertainty30Distance of current probability from 50% — markets near 50% have the most edge potential
24h movement20Recent repricing — a moving market may be incorporating new information

Volume (0 – 30 points)

ConditionPoints
Volume > $1,000,00030
Volume > $500,00020
Volume > $100,00010
Volume ≤ $100,0005

Liquidity (0 – 20 points)

ConditionPoints
Liquidity > $100,00020
Liquidity > $50,00012
Liquidity > $10,0006
Liquidity ≤ $10,0000
A liquidity score of 0 does not lower your total below zero, but it does mean orders above a few hundred dollars may experience significant slippage. Check the order book before sizing in.

Uncertainty (0 – 30 points)

Kuroko measures how far a market’s current probability sits from 50%. Markets closest to 50% are the most uncertain — and therefore have the most potential for a meaningful edge.
Distance from 50%Points
< 10 percentage points30
< 20 percentage points20
< 30 percentage points10
≥ 30 percentage points5
For example, a market at 44% sits 6 percentage points from 50% and earns 30 points. A market at 18% sits 32 percentage points from 50% and earns only 5 points.

24h movement (0 – 20 points)

Absolute price change in 24hPoints
> 10 percentage points20
> 5 percentage points12
> 2 percentage points6
≤ 2 percentage points or data unavailable0
The 24h movement dimension only awards points when real CLOB price history data is available. If Kuroko cannot fetch price history for a token, this dimension contributes 0 points rather than assuming movement.

Reading the score breakdown

Every edge opportunity in Kuroko includes a plain-English score breakdown. It surfaces only the signals that are actually present, joined by · separators. Example breakdown:
vol $2.3M · near 50% (max uncertainty) · +4.1pp 24h · +7.2pp 7d
Each part maps directly to a dimension:
SegmentDimensionMeaning
vol $2.3MVolume$2.3M total trading volume
near 50% (max uncertainty)UncertaintyProbability within 10pp of 50%
+4.1pp 24h24h movementProbability rose 4.1 percentage points in 24h
+7.2pp 7d(informational)7-day movement, shown when > 3pp
Segments only appear when the signal is strong enough to be meaningful. A market with low volume and no recent movement will show a short breakdown — that itself is a signal.

How the STRONG tier works in practice

The STRONG edge strength label requires all three of the following to be true simultaneously:
  • Edge score ≥ 70
  • Volume > $500,000
  • Absolute 24h probability change > 3 percentage points
This means a high score alone is not enough. The market also needs recent activity and meaningful trading volume behind it.
Sort by edge score descending to find the highest-conviction setups. Then read the scoreBreakdown to understand exactly what drove each score before sizing in.

Philosophy

Kuroko’s edge scores are built entirely on observable, verifiable market data. The engine never claims a side is “underpriced” relative to some theoretical fair value — it has no independent probability estimate to compare against. Every signal here can be cross-checked against the raw Polymarket data. The goal is to surface conditions, not recommendations.